Khenchela's last five matches have averaged just 0.6 goals in total, a stark contrast to the league's 2.23 average that sets up a low-scoring expectation against CR Belouizdad.
Match snapshot
CR Belouizdad host Khenchela in Ligue 1 with both sides showing defensive patterns in recent outings. The home side sits among the stronger teams in the division while the visitors have struggled to create chances on the road. League-wide numbers show home teams win half of all fixtures and just 38 percent of games go over 2.5 goals. No market offers clear value at the current prices.
Match outlook
No strong bet stands out here. The home win price around 1.34 sits close to the implied probability from recent results and leaves no margin for an edge. Under 2.5 goals at 1.74 also aligns too closely with the scoring trends seen in both teams' recent games. Double chance options and BTTS markets similarly fail to clear the threshold for positive expected value once the league baseline and form averages are applied. The fixture produces a no-bet recommendation.
Why it matters
Low goal outputs from the visitors limit upside in several markets. CR Belouizdad have recorded three clean sheets in their last five games, which supports the view that this match stays under the total goals line. Khenchela have drawn four of their last six matches and failed to score in several away fixtures, reducing the chance of a surprise result. These trends point to a controlled home performance rather than an open contest.
Form
CR Belouizdad have mixed results but keep games tight. Their last five matches produced an average of 1.6 total goals. - Drew 0-0 away at El Biar - Won 1-0 away at Biskra - Won 1-0 at home against ES Setif - Drew 3-3 away at ASO Chlef - Drew 0-0 away at Kabylie
Khenchela show even tighter scoring. Their last five matches produced an average of 0.6 total goals. - Drew 0-0 away at Saoura - Drew 0-0 at home against Constantine - Drew 1-1 at home against Ben Aknoun - Drew 0-0 at home against USM Alger - Won 1-0 at home against Rouisset
Head-to-head
Six recent meetings exist between the sides. Two finished under 2.5 goals. CR Belouizdad hold a strong record at home in these clashes.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | |------------|---------------|------------|-------| | 2026-05-04 | CR Belouizdad | Khenchela | 3-1 | | 2025-09-06 | Khenchela | CR Belouizdad | 1-1 | | 2025-02-12 | CR Belouizdad | Khenchela | 3-0 | | 2024-10-02 | Khenchela | CR Belouizdad | 0-0 | | 2024-05-04 | Khenchela | CR Belouizdad | 2-1 | | 2023-10-07 | CR Belouizdad | Khenchela | 2-3 |
Risks
Lineup changes remain unknown with no team news available. League progress at 90 percent could affect motivation in the final weeks. Khenchela have kept multiple clean sheets lately, which may push the game even lower on goals than expected. Small sample sizes in some data points limit how far recent patterns can be trusted.
This piece is for research and education, and it is not a recommendation to bet.