All six recent head-to-head meetings between Maghreb Fez and Raja Casablanca have finished under 2.5 goals, a pattern that lines up with the league's modest scoring baseline of 2.17 goals per match.
Match snapshot
Maghreb Fez host Raja Casablanca in the Botola Pro with both sides showing patchy recent results. The visitors hold a slight edge in clean-sheet frequency while the hosts have produced more open games at home. League averages point to a draw-heavy division where away wins occur in just 27 percent of matches.
Match outlook
No selection clears the required edge threshold. The draw sits at 2.5 with a market probability near 36 percent, while the away side is priced at 2.75. Over 2.5 goals at 2.56 also falls short of the 0.04 margin needed for a recommended play. With limited samples available for deeper pattern analysis, the market prices remain too tight to generate value on any outcome.
Why it matters
League data shows 64 percent of matches finish under 2.5 goals and 50 percent see both teams score. Home sides win 38 percent of games, yet the overall goal rate stays low at 2.17 per match. These numbers suggest a controlled contest where one goal could decide the result or the sides could share the points.
Form
Maghreb Fez have averaged 2.6 goals per game across their last five outings, with results including a 2-1 win and a 4-1 victory. Raja Casablanca have kept things tighter, averaging just 1.4 goals per game in their last five, highlighted by a 1-0 win and a 0-0 draw.
- Maghreb Fez last five: 2-1 win, 1-2 loss, 0-0 draw, 4-1 win, 2-0 win
- Raja Casablanca last five: 1-0 win, 0-0 draw, 0-2 loss, 2-0 win, 1-1 draw
Head-to-head
The six completed meetings in the database all stayed under 2.5 goals, with four ending in draws.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Total Goals | |------------|-------------------|-----------------|-------|-------------| | 2026-05-06 | Maghreb Fez | Raja Casablanca | 0-2 | 2 | | 2025-10-03 | Raja Casablanca | Maghreb Fez | 1-1 | 2 | | 2025-02-28 | Raja Casablanca | Maghreb Fez | 0-0 | 0 | | 2024-10-25 | Maghreb Fez | Raja Casablanca | 0-0 | 0 | | 2024-02-14 | Raja Casablanca | Maghreb Fez | 1-0 | 1 | | 2023-09-17 | Maghreb Fez | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 | 2 |
Risks
Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring lately, and the league's low goal average adds further uncertainty. Team news remains unavailable, which could shift the balance on match day. The modest sample of recent data also limits how much weight can be placed on current trends.
This piece is for research and education, and it is not a recommendation to bet.